Open the live control panel | Research manual

prior.md, the template. Sections 1 to 6 are written by the analyst at the start of stage B1, before the scheme exists; sections 7 and 8 are written at stage D1, before any adaptation is seen. Each part is sealed by the harness when written and amended only by a logged departure.

1. What I expect the scheme to hold

(Kinds of second-order theme I expect to find, from the stage A1 notes. Dated.)

exemplar rule: (how you will choose among quotes that all pass a theme's gate, written before the

first theme is opened; the default is the line that meets the gate most directly, with the

passing quotes not chosen named in the exemplar's rivals. Stage B1 §3.)

2. Expectations about the model

- Continuity at the top, drops at the bottom, a model all the way down; the lower levels will

describe decline and continuity. (The operator's expectation, recorded here so stage E1 can

say whether it held.)

- (The analyst's own, from the reading.)

3. Composition criteria, fixed before the scheme (contract §1)

- Local adequacy: each analysed room receives a model plus validated adaptations accounting for

its evidenced organizing; unresolved claims and insufficient evidence are reported separately.

- Shared adequacy: clusters must explain their members jointly through a stated condition or

mechanism. Define what counts as a distinct shared adaptation and what would show that the

global model requires unbounded revision rather than limited branching. State the grounds and

denominators before seeing returns; no numerical cutoff is imposed by the instrument.

- Report the fixed-global verdicts (does-not-compose included), particulars, and corrections

met twice as diagnostics. Repeated corrections are candidates for clusters, never failures.

Count ledger lines and distinct shared changes separately. Report both pre- and post-adaptation

fit. Do not call exact local fit evidence of global composition by itself.

- What each level's verdict will rest on (contract §1, two kinds of claim): for the population

pattern, the forms and the particular histories in turn, whether the claim rests on the words

of the record or on the shape of the corpus, what evidence of that kind would support it and

what would count against it. Written before any claim exists, so that a later validation can

be read against the kind declared here.

- Composition fails where adequately observed cases require only unrelated particulars, shared

branches do not explain their members, or global claims remain incompatible with validated

local evidence without a defensible scope decision. An insufficient record yields uncertainty,

not demonstrated failure. Compare this decision with Kozlowski and Klein's separate distinction

between composition and compilation; neither term is a success grade.

4. The temporal brackets (Langley), from the canvas's own events

Declare brackets from documented 2017 event times, with sources and timestamps. Distinguish

placement time from aftermath. Do not assume canvas expansions from another edition of r/place.

If only opening and placement closure are documented, use those anchors. Additional brackets

need an independent event record or a declared analytical rule, never the findings.

5. The rule for a coordinating turn (contract §1, organizing_end_hour)

A coded turn counts as coordinating when its first-order concept is an act toward the canvas or

toward other members' acts on the canvas: a call, an assignment, a plan, a report of placement,

a defence, an alliance, a correction of another's placement. Recounting, joking about, or

mourning the event is not coordinating. (The analyst refines the wording from the stage A1

lexicon before B1 opens. After that it changes only by a logged departure, and every figure

computed under it is then reported twice, under the rule before and after the change.)

6. The onset contrast (contract §5)

(The clock contrast on onset_first_code_hour, with the members of each side named.)

7. The distance weights and grades for stage D4 (SCHEMA §7), written at D1

w = 4, 2, 1, 0.5 for a meeting at third-order, fourth-order, dimension, bare target; g = 1, 0.5,

0, -1 for same op, same kind, different kind, the two opposite pairs.

8. Evidence sufficiency review prompts (FLEET §3), written at D1

- Concept floor prompting review: (number) first-order concepts.

- Off-platform pointer count prompting review: (number).

- What evidence is needed to decide the organizing claims, and which gaps or conflicts leave them undecidable.

The thresholds do not force a verdict. A well-observed room may remain decidable despite many off-platform mentions, and a rich record may lack one decisive event. State the evidence limit for each cannot-tell verdict.